The Bhutan We Think We Know

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FAQ

Is Bhutan's happiness actually rising?

By its own headline measure, yes: the Gross National Happiness Index rose from 0.756 in 2015 to 0.781 in 2022. But the book's point is what moves the opposite way underneath that single number. Over the same period the non-communicable-disease burden, gender disparities, and information-access gaps all worsened. A multi-dimensional index can climb even as several of the dimensions it is built to capture decline — which is exactly what appears to be happening.

The 0.756-to-0.781 rise is real and rigorously measured — Bhutan’s GNH survey is one of the most serious wellbeing instruments any country runs.

2010201520220.700.740.78GNH headline score051014Adult diabetes prevalence (%)0.7430.7560.7815.57.010.5Happiness climbed. Diabetes climbed faster.GNH headline score (left axis, Centre for Bhutan Studies surveys) vs adult diabetes prevalence (right axis, STEPS Surveys 2014/2019/2024).Diabetes values at GNH-survey years are interpolated approximations.
Source Centre for Bhutan Studies and GNH Research — GNH Surveys 2010, 2015, 2022.

The question the book asks is not whether the score went up, but whether a single aggregate can move in the opposite direction to some of its own components — health, equity, information access — without anyone noticing. When the headline and the underlying trend diverge, which one is telling the truth? That tension is the subject of Chapter Four and Paradox #16.

Primary sources